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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 39% (146–226, n=372) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $65K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #300 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (41 of 75 open) | 65% (98 of 151 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (73 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 230 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 23% (won 17% of 52) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 67% of 24) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 82% of 39) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 100% of 115) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | RN1 | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $28K | — | — | No $411K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | — | Browns $255K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $192 | — | Raiders $171K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $24K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | — | Raiders $17K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $1.9K | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | — | — | No $747 |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $3.3K | — | — | No $90K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.6K | — | — | Yes $82K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.5K | — | — | Yes $71K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4.1K | — | — | Yes $51K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.3K | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.0K | — | — | Yes $2.2K |