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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xheavy888BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Record (consensus markets)57% (4392–3296, n=7688)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$379K$10.6M$3.5M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #201 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #373PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus73% (63 of 86 open)73% (73 of 100 open)no open consensus position50% (4 of 8 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=2035———
Settled positions, side won56% of 6230 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 8% of 590)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 1641)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 61% of 2379)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 1620)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xheavy888BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $27KNo $184K——
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $59Chiefs $157K——
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $25Chiefs $137K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14KNo $35K——
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10KYes $37K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40KYes $1.1K——
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14Magic $24K——
Spread: Rams (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Chargers $546——Rams $1.0K
Chargers vs. Rams: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $669——Under $250
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6KYes $272K——
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6KNo $40K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
—Cardinals $3.0K—Cardinals $1.1K
Spread: Rams (-7.5)
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $494——Rams $4