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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xheavy888beachboy4BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Record (consensus markets)57% (4392–3296, n=7688)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (526–640, n=1166)56% (101–79, n=180)
Consensus PnL$379K$5.8M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #201 + pinnedwas PM monthly #24PM monthly #1was PM monthly #373
Sides with the consensus78% (43 of 55 open)100% (1 of 1 open)74% (73 of 99 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −2 pts, n=2075NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won56% of 6272 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%
Entries under 30¢9% (won 8% of 590)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)7% (won 75% of 8)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 42% of 1650)29% (won 56% of 62)36% (won 98% of 192)26% (won 93% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢38% (won 61% of 2401)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 187)42% (won 96% of 47)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 82% of 1631)14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 107)24% (won 96% of 27)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xheavy888beachboy4BreakTheBank0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $467—Chiefs $465K—
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $27K—No $184K—
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Broncos $57—Chiefs $152K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $14K—No $35K—
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $10K—Yes $37K—
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40K—Yes $1.1K—
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
Broncos $703—Chiefs $1.2K—
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3.6K—Yes $272K—
Spread: Commanders (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
Commanders $39—Commanders $45K—
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
No $3.6K—No $40K—