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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
6kke1tndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)44% (933–1180, n=2113)63% (1095–632, n=1727)50% (1246–1260, n=2506)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$103K$4.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #297PM monthly #114PM monthly #53PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position73% (73 of 100 open)55% (16 of 29 open)56% (79 of 141 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won53% of 1606 at avg 49¢, ROI +2%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢31% (won 19% of 498)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 42% of 388)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢20% (won 67% of 314)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 96% of 406)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market6kke1tndb1primmRN1
Broncos vs. Panthers
opposite sides · consensus Broncos
——Panthers $6.6KBroncos $45K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $6.8KUnder $4.5K
Spread: Rams (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Commanders
——Commanders $133Rams $10K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $131Giants $8.6K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $6.8KOver $1.4K
Cowboys vs. Colts: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $97Over $6.2K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $3.9KUnder $2.0K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 40.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $3.3KOver $1.9K
Browns vs. Saints: O/U 42.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $4.6KOver $142
Spread: Saints (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $958Browns $2.8K
Spread: Saints (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Saints $50Browns $3.5K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
——Colts $94Cowboys $3.2K
Giants vs. Eagles
same side · consensus Eagles
——Eagles $5.6KEagles $11K
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $5.3KUnder $7.5K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
same side · consensus Giants
——Eagles $3.4KEagles $217
Rams vs. Commanders: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KUnder $1.3K
Spread: Saints (-7.5)
same side · consensus Browns
——Saints $16Saints $1.4K
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 34.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $924Over $445
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
——Over $9Over $14