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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
881112CORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)33% (345–688, n=1033)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$403K$4.5M$10.6M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #858 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus58% (48 of 83 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (73 of 102 open)53% (62 of 117 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Football −12 pts, n=11———
Settled positions, side won56% of 800 at avg 39¢, ROI +11%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 23% of 396)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢13% (won 64% of 102)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 95% of 129)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 100% of 173)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market881112CORGIIBreakTheBankRN1
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $59KCowboys $12K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $279—Yes $4.1K—
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $900—No $590—
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $413—No $747—
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
No $2.2K—No $411K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $51KBills $18K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $51KMagic $228
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.4K—Yes $37K—
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $1.2K—No $35K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $13KMagic $161