Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
AnonymousUsernamebeachboy400gringo00BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)73% (4207–1587, n=5794)68% (43–20, n=63)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$459K$5.8M$3.5M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #967was PM monthly #24was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus71% (112 of 157 open)100% (1 of 1 open)no open consensus position72% (73 of 101 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
none with 10+ settled
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=92——
Settled positions, side won98% of 5270 at avg 56¢, ROI +7%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 74% of 285)3% (won 17% of 6)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 100% of 1965)29% (won 56% of 62)0%36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢34% (won 100% of 1803)54% (won 51% of 115)100% (won 86% of 7)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up23% (won 100% of 1217)14% (won 86% of 29)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketAnonymousUsernamebeachboy400gringo00BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.8K——Yes $82K
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $5.0K——Yes $51K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $17K——Yes $37K
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $218——No $40K
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5.0K——Yes $272K
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.5K——No $102K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.1K——Yes $77K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $8.8K——Cardinals $59K
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $21K——Yes $38K
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $173——Yes $56K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $2.9K——Magic $51K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $755——Cardinals $35K
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12K——Yes $4.7K
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $39——Yes $14K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $3.6K——Cardinals $3.0K
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $92——Chiefs $6.5K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $784Yes $4.2K——
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
same side · consensus No
Yes $648——Yes $1.1K