← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| AnonymousUsername | sainttroplay | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 73% (4207–1587, n=5794) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $459K | $4.4M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #967 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (104 of 145 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 52% (32 of 62 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 5270 at avg 56¢, ROI +7% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 74% of 285) | 0% | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 37% (won 100% of 1965) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 34% (won 100% of 1803) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 23% (won 100% of 1217) | 0% | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.