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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BigRabbitCORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)36% (364–646, n=1010)62% (393–245, n=638)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$124K$4.5M$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #932 + pinnedPM monthly #68PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus54% (45 of 84 open)0% (0 of 4 open)58% (86 of 148 open)72% (79 of 109 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicNFL −19 pts, n=57———
Settled positions, side won34% of 1941 at avg 33¢, ROI +1%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢49% (won 12% of 944)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 42% of 456)56% (won 99% of 223)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 58% of 378)33% (won 100% of 133)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up8% (won 84% of 163)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBigRabbitCORGIIRN1BreakTheBank
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
——Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
——Steelers $6.0KBrowns $255K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.9K——Yes $37K
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.0K——No $24K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
——Jets $109Raiders $17K
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $5.8K——No $753
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
——Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
——Bills $22KBills $378K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.1K——Yes $72K
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
——Bills $18KBills $51K
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $228Magic $51K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
——Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
——Jaguars $1.1KJaguars $20K
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
Yes $13K——Yes $2.2K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
——Magic $161Magic $13K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $3——Yes $943