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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSRN1
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–666, n=1226)52% (5357–4920, n=10277)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$634K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #57PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus55% (12 of 22 open)60% (84 of 139 open)66% (158 of 238 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
Weakest topic—Golf −2 pts, n=108—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 19% of 1341)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)35% (won 46% of 3607)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)35% (won 61% of 3523)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)17% (won 86% of 1699)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSRN1
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $300KYes $10K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $63K—Yes $21K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $18K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.0KNo $15K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Alex Michelsen $46Carlos Alcaraz $9.9K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.2KNo $4.8K—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.2K—Yes $96
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $765KNo $14K—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $22KYes $2.0K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $17KNo $4.3K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811—
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $376—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $80Yes $1.6K—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $164Yes $42—