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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)52% (6546–6139, n=12685)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$1.1M$4.1M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #127PM monthly #10PM monthly #33 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (33 of 37 open)69% (102 of 147 open)70% (113 of 161 open)56% (32 of 57 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—MLB −1 pts, n=747Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%54% of 10582 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 18% of 1390)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)36% (won 46% of 3763)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)35% (won 61% of 3662)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)17% (won 86% of 1767)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

33 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankCUTJALENHURTSFlaznorpRN1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $651K—No $52KNo $7.3K
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $292KNo $283——
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $22KNo $4.7K——
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16KYes $3.0K——
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $13KNo $4.8K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.7K
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28No $11K——
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
—Bengals $6.8K—Falcons $421
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.2K—Over $4.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.5KYes $1.9K
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $2.6KYes $1.9K
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus AIK
——AIK $3.5KBK Hacken $465
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $613Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $6
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Aston Villa FC O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.8KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
——Juan Manuel Cerundolo $2.3KElias Ymer $163
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $475Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $851Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $491No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $837Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $272No $11
Spread: PSV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden
——SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $15PSV $113
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $409KNo $14K——
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $57KNo $4.8K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
——Toby Samuel $5.9KToby Samuel $31K
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus Yes
——No $27KNo $8.4K
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $22KNo $7.0K
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $22KYes $2.9K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $15KYes $811——
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9.1K—Yes $4.5K
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
Yes $5.0KYes $8.0K——
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.7K—Over $585
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $3.9KUnder $2.5K
Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $3.7KUnder $534
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
——No $3.0KNo $80
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2.6KYes $376——
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.0KYes $1.8K——
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $2.3KYes $48
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $2.2KNo $73
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $80Yes $1.6K——
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.5KNo $49
Will Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——No $1.3KNo $116
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.3KYes $96——
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.3KYes $84
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $95Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $721Under $20
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $27Yes $463——
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $173Yes $240