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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 41% (589–853, n=1442) | 41% (1537–2179, n=3716) | 44% (11385–14473, n=25858) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.7M | $30K | -$8.8M | $4.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #804 | was PM monthly #87 | PM monthly #114 |
| Sides with the consensus | 78% (46 of 59 open) | 63% (12 of 19 open) | 60% (45 of 75 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Geopolitics −24 pts, n=16 | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 48% of 3214 at avg 47¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 35% (won 9% of 1109) | 4% (won 97% of 237) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 15% (won 39% of 472) | 26% (won 100% of 1446) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 23% (won 59% of 742) | 40% (won 100% of 2198) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 28% (won 92% of 891) | 30% (won 100% of 1675) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | ElonSpam | ferrariChampions2026 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texans vs. Chargers opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $338K | — | Texans $39K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $190K | — | Eagles $60K | — |
| Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $208K | — | Over $19K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $179K | — | Cowboys $6.9K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Chargers | Chargers $111K | — | Texans $38K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Colts | Colts $101K | — | Cowboys $77 | — |
| Spread: Giants (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eagles | Giants $68K | — | Eagles $53 | — |
| Packers vs. Patriots opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $13K | — | Patriots $26K | — |
| 76ers vs. Bulls opposite sides · consensus 76ers | Bulls $14K | 76ers $12K | — | — |
| Spread: Giants (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Giants | Giants $11K | — | Eagles $195 | — |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Packers $229 | — | Patriots $10K | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus No | No $421K | — | — | No $346K |
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $306K | — | — | Yes $12K |
| Spread: 76ers (-9.5) same side · consensus Bulls | Bulls $142K | — | Bulls $11K | — |
| Spread: Giants (-4.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Giants $67K | — | Giants $61 | — |
| Spread: Giants (-3.5) same side · consensus Eagles | Giants $37K | — | Giants $8.0K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-5.5) same side · consensus Colts | Colts $24K | — | Colts $8.8K | — |
| Spread: Texans (-4.5) same side · consensus Chargers | Chargers $4.3K | — | Chargers $6 | — |