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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpgollazaRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (576–717, n=1293)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)no settled market48% (14148–15609, n=29757)
Consensus PnL$7.3M$3.6M—$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #11—PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (22 of 25 open)76% (203 of 266 open)no open consensus position61% (54 of 88 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)—10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)—22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)—35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)—33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

37 on the same side, 24 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpgollazaRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.6K
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $5.7K—Taylor Fritz $2.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613—Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
—Genaro Alberto Olivieri $789—Juan Bautista Torres $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475—Under $1.3K
Sariyer SK vs. Igdir FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $638—Under $859
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $408—Over $791
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $471—No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
—Diletta Cherubini $268—Ipek Oz $680
Sariyer SK vs. Igdir FK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $332—Under $466
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $773—No $20
Taranto: Francesco Maestrelli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
opposite sides · consensus Carlo Alberto Caniato
—Francesco Maestrelli $374—Carlo Alberto Caniato $297
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $348—Under $81
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $414—No $5
Will NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $322—No $24
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
—Camilo Ugo Carabelli $75—Juan Carlos Prado $268
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
—Celtics $225—Hornets $116
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—76ers $188—Cavaliers $108
Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $151—Under $5
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $31—No $12
Spread: FC Energie Cottbus (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eintracht Braunschweig
—Eintracht Braunschweig $8—FC Energie Cottbus $21
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $20K—No $22K
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.0K—No $15K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $2.5K
Chennai Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
same side · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Anastasia Zakharova $5.0K—Anastasia Zakharova $12K
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.9K—Yes $10K
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Over $5.9K
Will US Boulogne Côte d'Opale win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $953—No $6.5K
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2.4K—Yes $4.0K
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $2.1K—No $4.2K
Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.9K—No $2.7K
Will Wisla Plock win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.5K—No $2.3K
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.8K—Over $777
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Rudeš: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $1.5K—Over $676
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Sariyer SK leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $942—No $814
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $383—Over $1.2K
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1K—Under $444
Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $209—Over $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $104—Under $1.1K
Will Dinamo 1948 win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.2K—No $22
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Riera
same side · consensus Julia Riera
—Julia Riera $64—Julia Riera $1.1K
Will Cambridge United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $760—Yes $303
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $765—Under $25
Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Bursaspor
—Bursaspor $100—Bursaspor $634
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702—Under $20
Antalyaspor vs. Bursaspor: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $4—No $690