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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)46% (560–665, n=1225)53% (5923–5296, n=11219)53% (10–9, n=19)85% (5221–893, n=6114)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$3.3M$5.6M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #21PM monthly #1PM monthly #703
Sides with the consensus48% (10 of 21 open)63% (201 of 320 open)no open consensus position52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpjoseph00677youcanbuythisbot
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.7K—Yes $33
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $420—Under $13
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $833
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Under $86
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.0K—No $378
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $1.1K—No $47
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $720—Under $24
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $705—Over $28
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—Yes $18
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—No $495—No $4
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $317—Yes $2
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $101—Under $5
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10—Yes $7
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $2—Yes $1