Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)56% (101–79, n=180)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$10.6M$13.4M$3.5M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedwas PM monthly #373PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus71% (73 of 103 open)66% (100 of 152 open)no open consensus position62% (38 of 61 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)7% (won 75% of 8)8% (won 59% of 872)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)26% (won 93% of 29)21% (won 86% of 2312)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)42% (won 96% of 47)38% (won 94% of 4141)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)24% (won 96% of 27)32% (won 99% of 3484)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN10x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241omnibus-076daa
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Raiders $171KJets $192—Jets $614
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—Buccaneers $4.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—Cowboys $131
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K——
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K——
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $5.5K—Yes $25K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
Raiders $17KJets $400——
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0K—Under $63
Will Lommel SK win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.5K—Yes $105
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $8
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $640—Yes $211
Will Alemannia Aachen win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $93—Yes $133
Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2—Under $137
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Dylan Dietrich
—Liam Draxl $9—Dylan Dietrich $36
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
—Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1—Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $77K——Yes $1.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $71K——Yes $116
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $35KCardinals $714——
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K——
Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.5K—Under $21K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
Jaguars $20KJaguars $643——
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $12K—Yes $185
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $5.9K—Under $217
Spread: Cowboys (-9.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $1.4K—Cardinals $41
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $692—Yes $186
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
—Shunsuke Mitsui $5—Shunsuke Mitsui $452
Spread: Raiders (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $29—Raiders $213
Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $7—Over $5