← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $10.6M | $5.8M | $3.4M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 67% (12 of 18 open) | 53% (62 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $51K | — | Ravens $696 | Bills $18K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cardinals $1.1K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $59K | — | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Buccaneers $3.0K | Falcons $2.7K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $4.5K | Ravens $647 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | — | Ravens $295 | Bills $4.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.1K | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $2.1K | — | Ravens $376 | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $8 | Under $2.2K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $65 | Over $434 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $51K | — | — | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $13K | — | — | Magic $161 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $2.8K | Under $9.2K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $261 | Under $7.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $2.7K | Bills $4.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $282 | Bills $2.5K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $1.0K | Cardinals $629 |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $662 | Bills $93 |