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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankdsoperativejoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)57% (257–196, n=453)43% (10–13, n=23)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$34K$3.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #818PM monthly #8PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus77% (47 of 61 open)89% (25 of 28 open)no open consensus position59% (87 of 147 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%85% of 274 at avg 68¢, ROI +25%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)8% (won 36% of 22)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)10% (won 75% of 28)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)28% (won 83% of 78)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)53% (won 95% of 146)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankdsoperativejoseph00677RN1
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190K——Eagles $11K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $147K——76ers $371
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K——No $2.9K
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K——Cowboys $6.1K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K——Eagles $329
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K——No $15K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K——Eagles $102
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $438——76ers $155
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K——Under $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K——Giants $8.9K
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K——Chiefs $11K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K——Chiefs $1.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $16K——Bulls $88
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K——Browns $310