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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026JordanMooneyRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (616–869, n=1485)43% (11778–15356, n=27134)26% (1427–4044, n=5471)48% (19694–21447, n=41141)
Consensus PnL$8.4M-$9.5M$26K$14.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #638PM monthly #35 + pinned
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)69% (9 of 13 open)52% (117 of 224 open)50% (15 of 30 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic——NHL −1 pts, n=218—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%34% of 2118 at avg 34¢, ROI −2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)63% (won 1% of 1330)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)3% (won 44% of 73)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)4% (won 67% of 88)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)30% (won 96% of 627)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026JordanMooneyRN1
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $24K—No $126—
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
—Liam Broady $2.0K—Billy Harris $6.2K
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.9K—No $145—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.8K
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $484—No $2—
Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $42—No $146—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $23—No $144—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $28—No $126—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Machac vs Borna Gojo
same side · consensus Borna Gojo
—Tomas Machac $11K—Tomas Machac $17K
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
No $15K—No $127—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13K—Yes $4—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360