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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankndb1RN1SharkbettingCom
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)41% (266–385, n=651)
Consensus PnL$7.7M$4.6M$14.8M$107K
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #114PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #898 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (46 of 61 open)73% (73 of 100 open)57% (86 of 152 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • NFL +36 pts n=31, ROI +17%
  • Soccer +19 pts n=142, ROI +18%
  • NBA +16 pts n=17, ROI +17%
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—Elections −7 pts, n=32
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%48% of 491 at avg 38¢, ROI +8%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)35% (won 25% of 170)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)40% (won 49% of 197)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)17% (won 68% of 85)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)8% (won 97% of 39)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankndb1RN1SharkbettingCom
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $190K—Eagles $11K—
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $163K—76ers $371—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $115K—No $2.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
Colts $101K—Cowboys $4.5K—
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
Giants $67K—Eagles $522—
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $16K—No $15K—
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
Giants $11K—Eagles $217—
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $493—76ers $155—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421KNo $346K——
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306KYes $12K——
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $208K—Under $4.5K—
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $68K—Giants $8.6K—
Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $21K—Chiefs $11K—
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $24K—Colts $7.0K—
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
Bulls $22K—Bulls $81—
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K—
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $6.3K—Browns $311—