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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Burkilota1Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)62% (690–428, n=1118)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$145K$3.5M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #258PM monthly #23PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus23% (10 of 44 open)78% (324 of 415 open)no open consensus position65% (129 of 198 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +9 pts n=133, ROI +11%
  • Tennis +9 pts n=23, ROI +1%
  • NBA +9 pts n=27, ROI +10%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicCrypto −1 pts, n=181Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won20% of 558 at avg 16¢, ROI +7%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢88% (won 15% of 493)29% (won 11% of 465)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 63% of 64)16% (won 40% of 255)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 0% of 1)16% (won 62% of 260)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up0%39% (won 94% of 637)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

104 on the same side, 53 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBurkilota1Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $28K—No $17K
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $15K—Yes $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $9.6K—Over $1.7K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $8.8K—Over $722
Will Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $8.1K—Yes $106
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $2.7K—Over $4.0K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4K—Yes $1.9K
Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.8K—No $165
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.0K—Over $1.5K
Cali: Luisina Giovannini vs Bianca Andreescu
opposite sides · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $2.9K—Luisina Giovannini $1.5K
Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg
opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg
—Daniel Milavsky $624—Max Hans Rehberg $3.6K
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.8K—Under $204
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $586—Over $3.3K
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.3K—Under $215
Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0K—Yes $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1K—Yes $7
Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $769—Over $2.0K
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.7K—Over $82
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $36
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.5K—Over $12
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.4K—Under $37
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $2.3K——
Exact Score: Kuopion PS 1 - 0 KAA Gent?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $1.2K
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.7K—No $312
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $1.3K
Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $377—No $1.1K
Will FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.3K—Yes $16
Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $137—Under $895
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466—No $529
AC Milan leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $929—Yes $8
AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $900—Over $4
RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $880—Over $5
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $875—Over $2
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $725—Yes $137
Exact Score: Atalanta BC 1 - 2 Qairat FK?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $733—Yes $33
NEC vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $165—Under $596
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Crystal Palace FC
—Crystal Palace FC $748—TSG 1899 Hoffenheim $3
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $4No $653——
Exact Score: PFK Levski Sofia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia Białystok?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $619—Yes $10
AC Sparta Praha vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $435—Over $59
Exact Score: AC Milan 0 - 2 Ferencvárosi TC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $458—No $31
W35 Orlando, FL: Sloane Stephens vs Luciana Perry
opposite sides · consensus Sloane Stephens
—Sloane Stephens $407—Luciana Perry $54
AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $311—Yes $14
Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Red Bull Salzburg
—FC Red Bull Salzburg $313—RSC Anderlecht $10
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
—Julio Cesar Porras $60—Ivan Gakhov $238
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Inter Club d'Escaldes
—Inter Club d'Escaldes $282—FK Crvena zvezda $2
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Heat $108—Warriors $130
Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $145—Over $1
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $133—Over $2