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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
CUTJALENHURTSndb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (5376–4942, n=10318)65% (892–472, n=1364)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$607K$4.6M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #66PM monthly #96PM monthly #48PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus59% (99 of 168 open)78% (39 of 50 open)63% (24 of 38 open)60% (234 of 389 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGolf −2 pts, n=108NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won54% of 10170 at avg 51¢, ROI +4%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 19% of 1341)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 46% of 3607)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 61% of 3523)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 86% of 1699)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 30 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketCUTJALENHURTSndb1primmRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $30K—Eastern Michigan $417Central Michigan $12K
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Sacramento State $4.8K—Toledo $1.7KSacramento State $765
Spread: Toledo (-33.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Sacramento State $5.4K—Toledo $1.5KToledo $377
Spread: Toledo (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
Sacramento State $3.9K—Toledo $2.0KToledo $676
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Central Michigan $5—Eastern Michigan $984Central Michigan $583
Toledo vs. Sacramento State
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
Toledo $5.9K——Sacramento State $8.3K
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.6K——No $9.4K
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 43.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $203—Under $9.6K—
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $4.6K——Bulls $47
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $2.5KUMass $1.0K
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2.2KSacramento State $800
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Sacramento State $80Toledo $2.9K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $797Over $2.1K
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $2.5KUnder $3
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $1.4KCentral Michigan $815
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $298Sacramento State $1.4K
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $1.0KSacramento State $463
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $900UMass $374
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Over $924Under $298
Will the Phoenix Suns make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $626Yes $420——
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
——Ball State $480UMass $457
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $243Sacramento State $462
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $561——Under $118
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $65Yes $525——
Spread: Toledo (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
——Toledo $142Sacramento State $181
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan: O/U 37.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $205Over $52
Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Eastern Michigan $161Central Michigan $49
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1Yes $160——
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1Yes $121——
Spread: Central Michigan (-13.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
——Central Michigan $6Eastern Michigan $4
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $297Yes $64K——
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $3.4K——No $10K
Spread: Ball State (-2.5)
same side · consensus UMass
——UMass $3.0KUMass $804
Will Porto win the 2026-27 Primeira Liga Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $3.3KNo $6——
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 51.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $2.6KOver $179
Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $279No $2.5K——
Spread: Toledo (-20.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $438Toledo $773
Will Tampa Bay Lightning be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $700Yes $3——
Spread: Toledo (-23.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $176Toledo $429
Spread: Toledo (-9.5)
same side · consensus Toledo
——Toledo $2Toledo $582
Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1Yes $454——
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 37.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $182Under $11
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
same side · consensus No
No $26No $5——