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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (414–337, n=751) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $99K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #979 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 64% (42 of 66 open) | 72% (79 of 110 open) | 59% (91 of 154 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=50 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 62% of 614 at avg 53¢, ROI +9% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 10% of 212) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 64% of 64) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 79% of 66) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 44% (won 98% of 272) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Contentious-Dinnerdate | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $297K | Steelers $1.9K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $6.0K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | No $35K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $423 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $2.7K |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $449 | No $10K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $130 | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | Bills $22K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $4.3K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $165 | Yes $72K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $1.1K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |