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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DreamwireRN1BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)86% (2698–437, n=3135)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$11K$13.4M$10.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #411PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus74% (14 of 19 open)62% (91 of 146 open)72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=76——
Settled positions, side won82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 5% of 319)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 130)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 66% of 152)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 1919)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDreamwireRN1BreakTheBank
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14—No $407K
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Steelers $5.5KBrowns $255K
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $192Raiders $171K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $532—Yes $77K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $11KCardinals $59K
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $400Raiders $17K
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $1.9KFalcons $8.6K
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $750Over $1.9K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $131Over $1.6K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $94—Yes $258K
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.3KRaiders $104K
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $39K
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $714Cardinals $35K
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $1.1KRaiders $24K
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $643Jaguars $20K
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $14K
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $11K
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $33Over $4.2K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $377Over $2.8K—
Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $462Under $76—