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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
DreamwireRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Record (consensus markets)86% (2698–437, n=3135)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL$11K$13.4M$10.6M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #411PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus68% (15 of 22 open)56% (81 of 145 open)72% (78 of 108 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEntertainment ±0 pts, n=76———
Settled positions, side won82% of 2520 at avg 81¢, ROI 0%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢13% (won 5% of 319)10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 44% of 130)22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 66% of 152)36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up76% (won 99% of 1919)31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketDreamwireRN1BreakTheBankCORGII
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $14—No $407K—
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Browns
—Steelers $1.9KBrowns $297K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Jets $11KRaiders $171K—
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $532—Yes $77K—
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $12KCardinals $59K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Jets $43Raiders $17K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $194Under $7.2K——
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
—Cowboys $1.4KCardinals $3.0K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $226Over $434——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $203Under $141——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 44.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $109Under $98——
Ravens vs. Bills
same side · consensus Bills
—Bills $28KBills $378K—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $93—Yes $258K—
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $4.3KRaiders $104K—
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
same side · consensus Ravens
—Bills $18KBills $51K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $228Magic $51K—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $12—Yes $39K—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $2.7KRaiders $24K—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5—Yes $14K—
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
—Magic $161Magic $13K—
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $8—Yes $11K—
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $49Under $9.2K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $105Over $5.4K——
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $220Under $2.1K——
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $79Over $1.3K——