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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHAN88888joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6524–6030, n=12554)100% (13–0, n=13)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$49K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #609PM monthly #2PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus73% (217 of 296 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position57% (86 of 150 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%100% of 12 at avg 91¢, ROI +8%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)0%12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)0%6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)0%65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)100% (won 100% of 12)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

55 on the same side, 40 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHAN88888joseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $8.6K——Under $5
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille $6.8K——Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $586——Over $3.3K
Spread: SC União Torreense (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ararat-Armenia FA
SC União Torreense $554——Ararat-Armenia FA $2.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $2.0K——No $256
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.4K——No $770
Spread: FC København (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Iberia 1999
FC København $1.0K——SK Iberia 1999 $862
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $248
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $1.7K——Panathinaikós AO $4
SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.3K——Under $342
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.5K——Yes $134
Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.4K——Yes $138
Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano
FC Lugano $1.5K——FK Kauno Žalgiris $11
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $908——Yes $544
FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $8
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $645——Over $675
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466——No $529
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $480——Over $445
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $673——Yes $184
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $801——Yes $1
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $187——Over $422
M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551——Jesse Flores $53
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $515——No $59
Will FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $446——Yes $9
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $338——Over $101
Costa do Sauipe: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Elmer Moeller
opposite sides · consensus Elmer Moeller
Elmer Moeller $387——Joao Lucas Da Silva $32
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $374——Over $10
FC Lugano vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $122——Under $234
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $60——Ivan Gakhov $238
Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12——Yes $267
Spread: Warriors (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $108——Warriors $130
W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova
opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova
Maria Sholokhova $4——Victoria Rodriguez $173
W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek
Anna Siskova $60——Isis Louise Van den Broek $88
Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $31——Under $25
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7——Over $29
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $49K——No $28K
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $47K——No $20K
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $33K——Yes $15K
Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K——Under $11K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $12K——No $2.2K
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
same side · consensus Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud $7.7K——Casper Ruud $6.4K
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.9K——Under $8.4K
Sunderland AFC vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $8.6K——Under $2.8K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $5.6K——Under $4.3K