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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpKunkun111ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6461–6057, n=12518)58% (18–13, n=31)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14167–15642, n=29809)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$3.6K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #10was PM monthly #807PM monthly #95PM monthly #30 + pinned
Sides with the consensus71% (124 of 175 open)no open consensus position72% (52 of 72 open)54% (14 of 26 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22—NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%63% of 24 at avg 38¢, ROI +13%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)25% (won 50% of 6)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)50% (won 58% of 12)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)21% (won 80% of 5)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)4% (won 100% of 1)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpKunkun111ndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $354——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476——Under $1.3K
Will PFK Dinamo Samarqand win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $7——Yes $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $466——No $529
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Ipek Oz
Diletta Cherubini $291——Ipek Oz $680
Taranto: Kilian Feldbausch vs Sumit Nagal
opposite sides · consensus Sumit Nagal
Kilian Feldbausch $133——Sumit Nagal $670
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31——No $12
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
Alexandra Eala $38K——Alexandra Eala $58K
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $6.9K——Mai Hontama $19K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
same side · consensus Jerome Kym
Jerome Kym $5.3K——Jerome Kym $3.0K
Villa Maria: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker
same side · consensus Nicolas Kicker
Nicolas Kicker $1.7K——Nicolas Kicker $453
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $139——Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $176——Under $42