Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677Limousinndb1
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)43% (10–13, n=23)47% (1564–1796, n=3360)63% (1096–631, n=1727)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$3.3M$14K$4.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #8was PM monthly #600PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus76% (91 of 119 open)no open consensus position33% (14 of 42 open)73% (73 of 100 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15——NFL −8 pts, n=147
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 830 at avg 69¢, ROI +32%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)8% (won 100% of 66)13% (won 14% of 187)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)23% (won 100% of 192)19% (won 39% of 269)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)14% (won 100% of 117)23% (won 57% of 328)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)55% (won 100% of 455)44% (won 94% of 622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677Limousinndb1
Celtics vs. Bucks
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $14K—Bucks $7—
Will Club León FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $6.4K—Yes $237—
Will CD Moquegua win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.8K—Yes $30—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Heat $1.7K—Kings $1.2K—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.1K—Under $55—
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $500—Bucks $88—
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Moquegua: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $281—Yes $103—
Exact Score: Club Universitario de Deportes 3 - 1 CD Moquegua?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $301—Yes $7—
Will Estoril Praia vs. CS Marítimo end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $284—Yes $16—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $136—SD Eibar $147—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $234—Over $3—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $145—Over $16—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $17K—Coco Gauff $23K—
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $15K—No $545—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $5.9K—Patrick Zahraj $2.4K—
Exact Score: Estoril Praia 0 - 0 CS Marítimo?
same side · consensus No
No $852—No $505—
Knoxville: Giles Hussey vs Kaylan Bigun
same side · consensus Giles Hussey
Giles Hussey $370—Giles Hussey $669—
Utebo FC vs. CE Sabadell FC: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $197—Over $151—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $271—Over $4—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $138—No $32—
Exact Score: Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 0 De Graafschap?
same side · consensus No
No $4—No $19—