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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lilybaeum | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (5630–4163, n=9793) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $995K | $13.4M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #251 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (4 of 12 open) | 66% (100 of 152 open) | no open consensus position | 61% (20 of 33 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 6070 at avg 63¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 98% of 414) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 29% (won 100% of 1750) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 18% (won 100% of 1122) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 46% (won 100% of 2784) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Lilybaeum | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $1.8K | — | Buccaneers $4.9K |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $184 | Under $5.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | — | Ravens $847 | — | Bills $4.5K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $2.7K | — | Under $990 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | Falcons $591 | — | Buccaneers $2.0K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $321 | — | Buccaneers $2.0K |
| Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $1.0K | — | Under $1.2K |
| Spread: Raiders (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $2.1K | — | Raiders $138 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $935 | — | Under $65 |
| Will Burgos CF win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $30 | Yes $861 | — | — |
| Spread: Steelers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $211 | — | Browns $471 |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux opposite sides · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Geoffrey Blancaneaux $54 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |
| Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $712 | No $15K | — | — |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $687 | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $6.9K | — | Under $2.8K |
| Guayaquil: Joaquin Aguilar vs Hugo Dellien same side · consensus Joaquin Aguilar | Joaquin Aguilar $188 | Joaquin Aguilar $3.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-7.5) same side · consensus Falcons | — | Buccaneers $1.3K | — | Buccaneers $1.6K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.1K | — | Over $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-14.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $1.8K | — | Jaguars $4 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-4.5) same side · consensus Buccaneers | — | Buccaneers $90 | — | Buccaneers $1.5K |
| Will Burgos CF vs. CD Castellón end in a draw? same side · consensus No | Yes $102 | Yes $1.1K | — | — |
| Raiders vs. Jets: O/U 56.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $271 | — | Under $828 |
| Falcons vs. Buccaneers: O/U 42.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $546 | — | Over $2 |
| Will CD Castellón win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | No $177 | No $73 | — | — |