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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LolakisBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)69% (569–259, n=828)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13860–15343, n=29203)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$95K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #868PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus57% (28 of 49 open)90% (146 of 163 open)67% (4 of 6 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=21———
Settled positions, side won54% of 870 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 6% of 323)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 40% of 102)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 71% of 105)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 98% of 340)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLolakisBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.2KYes $31K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $966Yes $29K——
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $24Yes $52K——
Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
same side · consensus No
Yes $44Yes $32K——
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $116No $30K——
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $25No $25K——
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $74Yes $15K——
Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $45Yes $15K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $5.0K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $10Yes $3.6K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6Yes $3.6K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $7Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $5Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3Yes $2.1K——
Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $2Yes $2.1K——