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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1BreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)45% (526–640, n=1166)62% (393–245, n=638)50% (14291–14380, n=28671)
Consensus PnL$13.4M$10.6M$4.5M$3.3M
Tracked asPM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1PM monthly #68PM monthly #27
Sides with the consensus64% (21 of 33 open)73% (72 of 99 open)25% (1 of 4 open)52% (34 of 66 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%91% of 10843 at avg 60¢, ROI +32%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 56% of 2534)10% (won 85% of 53)9% (won 92% of 36)8% (won 59% of 873)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5497)36% (won 98% of 192)56% (won 99% of 223)21% (won 86% of 2319)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 8897)35% (won 99% of 187)33% (won 100% of 133)38% (won 94% of 4154)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 100% of 7736)20% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)32% (won 99% of 3497)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1BreakTheBankCORGIIomnibus-076daa
Chiefs vs. Broncos
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $465K—Broncos $687
Celtics vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Magic $24K—Celtics $157
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus Heroic
——B8 $22KHeroic $658
Costa do Sauipe: Andre Souza vs Wilson Leite
opposite sides · consensus Wilson Leite
Wilson Leite $12K——Andre Souza $1.0K
Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs Imperial (BO5) - Gamers Club Masters Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus DENDELE CS
——Imperial $7.9KDENDELE CS $256
Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl
opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl
Liam Draxl $5.2K——Dylan Dietrich $36
Charlottesville: Jangjun Kim vs Ozan Baris
opposite sides · consensus Ozan Baris
Ozan Baris $4.0K——Jangjun Kim $951
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group A
opposite sides · consensus TheMongolz
——TheMongolz $2.2KLegacy $54
Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $228——Over $573
Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen
opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1——Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $272K—Yes $2.9K
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $77K—Yes $1.8K
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $73K—Yes $116
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $228Magic $51K——
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $28K—Yes $2.9K
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $161Magic $13K——
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $9.2K——Under $45
Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux
same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Mitsui $5——Shunsuke Mitsui $452
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $30——Under $160