Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
RN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)47% (13886–15398, n=29284)49% (6368–6547, n=12915)
Consensus PnL$14.8M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #675
Sides with the consensus54% (14 of 26 open)48% (12 of 25 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topic——
Settled positions, side won94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up33% (won 100% of 8250)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketRN1youcanbuythisbot
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.7KUnder $69
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $1.5KUnder $839
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $1.9KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $529Yes $18
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $36Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7No $47
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KRayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.1KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $360Over $21
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $161Yes $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $20Under $24
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $42Under $1
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1