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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpRN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)52% (6519–6017, n=12536)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)49% (6393–6579, n=12972)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$14.8M-$15K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #677
Sides with the consensus70% (208 of 297 open)66% (23 of 35 open)54% (13 of 24 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +33 pts n=541, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=46, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 633 at avg 67¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 100% of 60)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 100)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)36% (won 99% of 9017)22% (won 99% of 140)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8250)53% (won 100% of 333)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

21 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpRN1youcanbuythisbot
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $14KNo $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $14KOver $1.5KUnder $845
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.4KYes $1.9KNo $255
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $572Over $3.3KUnder $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1KYes $7No $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6KOver $36Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $476Under $1.3KOver $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $466No $529Yes $18
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702Under $20Under $24
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $127Yes $176Yes $8
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $174Under $42Under $1
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
opposite sides · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $282Dalibor Svrcina $2.0K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.6K—Yes $38
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Brute (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Brute
GenOne $2Brute $523—
M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov
opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov
Julio Cesar Porras $23Ivan Gakhov $207—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $7Over $28—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $16KYes $11K—
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $6.2KYes $5.4K—
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
same side · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Juan Bautista Torres $90Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.2KOver $1.9K—
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $1.1KNo $2.0K—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KRayo Vallecano de Madrid $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K—Over $43
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $270Over $686—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $499—No $374
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $548—No $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $360Over $21
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $343—Under $13
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $293—Under $5
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-10-16?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $223—Yes $7
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $138—Yes $19