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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| SquirrelTheMerchant | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (80–54, n=134) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $60K | $4.5M | $13.4M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #851 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (26 of 32 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 57% (85 of 149 open) | 72% (79 of 109 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Finance −10 pts, n=15 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 120 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 21% (won 4% of 25) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 18% (won 45% of 22) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 79% of 24) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 41% (won 98% of 49) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | SquirrelTheMerchant | CORGII | RN1 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | — | Steelers $1.9K | Browns $297K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Steelers $6.0K | Browns $255K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.4K | — | — | No $88K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $37K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Jets $109 | Raiders $17K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House opposite sides · consensus No | No $9.5K | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | — | Bills $22K | Bills $378K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $4.3K | Raiders $104K |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | — | Bills $18K | Bills $51K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $2.7K | Raiders $24K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $1.1K | Jaguars $20K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $399 | — | — | Yes $4.1K |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $152 | — | — | No $590 |