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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241primm
| Warren-Buffett | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (432–218, n=650) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $119K | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (25 of 49 open) | 72% (77 of 107 open) | 56% (79 of 140 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | Soccer −3 pts, n=36 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 1105 at avg 57¢, ROI 0% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 8% of 391) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 49% of 69) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 69% of 95) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 50% (won 97% of 550) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Warren-Buffett | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | — | Browns $297K | Steelers $1.9K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | No $184K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $43 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Ravens vs. Bills same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $378K | Bills $28K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.8K | Yes $169K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $4.3K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | Yes $72K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) same side · consensus Ravens | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.8K | No $24K | — |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $2.7K |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3.5K | Yes $4.1K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.0K | Yes $4.7K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.3K | Yes $2.2K | — |