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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| aenews2 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 61% (1121–727, n=1848) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $2.4M | $4.5M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #117 + pinned | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (20 of 61 open) | 0% (0 of 4 open) | 72% (74 of 103 open) | 63% (97 of 153 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Crypto −3 pts, n=49 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 65% of 1945 at avg 62¢, ROI +1% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 9% of 596) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 53% of 112) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 7% (won 68% of 143) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 56% (won 97% of 1094) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | aenews2 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | — | Browns $255K | Steelers $5.5K |
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $171K | Jets $192 |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $11K |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $8.9K | — | Yes $38K | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $12K | — | No $24K | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | — | Raiders $17K | Jets $400 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $8.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $104K | Raiders $2.3K |
| Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $30K | — | Yes $51K | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | — | Cardinals $35K | Cardinals $714 |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | — | Raiders $24K | Raiders $1.1K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | — | Jaguars $20K | Jaguars $643 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $513 | — | Yes $2.2K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $85 | — | No $590 | — |