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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
alpheclabs2beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Record (consensus markets)45% (979–1209, n=2188)no settled market52% (6455–6056, n=12511)48% (14165–15642, n=29807)
Consensus PnL$79K—$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #480—PM monthly #11PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus61% (11 of 18 open)no open consensus position72% (128 of 178 open)53% (17 of 32 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=711—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won47% of 1703 at avg 45¢, ROI +3%—56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢32% (won 13% of 548)—29% (won 11% of 465)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 42% of 400)—16% (won 40% of 255)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢22% (won 62% of 382)—16% (won 62% of 260)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 89% of 373)—39% (won 94% of 637)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketalpheclabs2beachboy4FlaznorpRN1
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Jerome Kym
opposite sides · consensus Jerome Kym
Jerome Kym $1.9K—Nishesh Basavareddy $78Jerome Kym $275
W50 Huamantla: Ipek Oz vs Diletta Cherubini
opposite sides · consensus Diletta Cherubini
Diletta Cherubini $4—Diletta Cherubini $291Ipek Oz $680
Chennai Open: Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette
same side · consensus Mai Hontama
Mai Hontama $145—Mai Hontama $5.4KMai Hontama $6.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $13KOver $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $4.4KYes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $354Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $3.1KYes $7
Lamphun Warriors FC vs. Sukhothai FC: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
——Under $740Over $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $2.6KOver $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $476Under $1.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $466No $529
Will PFK Dinamo Samarqand win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $857Yes $2
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $312No $12
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Alexandra Eala
same side · consensus Alexandra Eala
——Alexandra Eala $26KAlexandra Eala $48K
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul
same side · consensus Ben Shelton
——Ben Shelton $8.5KBen Shelton $24K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
——No $14KNo $2.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $115Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $702Under $20
Luanda: Justina Mikulskyte vs Noma Noha Akugue
same side · consensus Noma Noha Akugue
——Noma Noha Akugue $495Noma Noha Akugue $71
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $139Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $176Under $42