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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)46% (6444–7531, n=13975)50% (1106–1117, n=2223)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$22K$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #3was PM monthly #699PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (23 of 34 open)76% (177 of 232 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Crypto −2 pts, n=3902—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%51% of 4244 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)41% (won 8% of 1743)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)13% (won 39% of 571)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)8% (won 72% of 360)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)37% (won 96% of 1570)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87primm
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $278KNo $24—
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KNo $45—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $22KNo $19—
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $13KNo $44—
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $4.1KNo $110—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.0KNo $18—
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $164No $25—
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $27No $80—
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $55—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $30—
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $16KYes $9—
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $70—
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.4KYes $5—