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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

sainttroplay: no tracked trader by that name or wallet.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)46% (6435–7514, n=13949)
Consensus PnL—$9.4M$22K
Tracked as—PM monthly #3was PM monthly #699
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position85% (29 of 34 open)75% (174 of 232 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Crypto −2 pts, n=3902
Settled positions, side won—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%51% of 4244 at avg 52¢, ROI 0%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 80% of 61)41% (won 8% of 1743)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 203)13% (won 39% of 571)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 201)8% (won 72% of 360)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 115)37% (won 96% of 1570)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankcryingbabydicer87
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $278KNo $24
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $24KNo $19
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $22KNo $45
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $12KNo $44
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.9KNo $110
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $580No $18
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $164No $25
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $27No $80
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $28No $55
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $407KNo $30
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $15KYes $9
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—No $15KNo $73
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3.5KYes $5