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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4BreakTheBankgod83743894RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market41% (589–853, n=1442)15% (4042–22938, n=26980)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL—$7.7M-$163K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #1PM monthly #219PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position77% (46 of 60 open)82% (27 of 33 open)56% (80 of 142 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Weather −8 pts, n=17386—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%13% of 20935 at avg 21¢, ROI −7%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)85% (won 0% of 17885)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢—36% (won 98% of 212)1% (won 39% of 170)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 205)1% (won 54% of 226)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)13% (won 97% of 2654)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4BreakTheBankgod83743894RN1
Giants vs. Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $190K—Eagles $11K
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $142K—76ers $305
Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colts
—Colts $101K—Cowboys $2.7K
Spread: Giants (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eagles
—Giants $67K—Eagles $290
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16K—No $16K
Spread: Giants (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Giants
—Giants $11K—Eagles $163
Spread: 76ers (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $400—76ers $155
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $208K—Under $4.5K
Spread: Giants (-2.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
—Giants $68K—Giants $8.8K
Spread: Rams (-4.5)
same side · consensus Commanders
—Rams $13K—Rams $8.8K
Spread: Chiefs (-8.5)
same side · consensus Chiefs
—Chiefs $18K—Chiefs $1.6K
76ers vs. Bulls
same side · consensus 76ers
—Bulls $14K—Bulls $99
Spread: Saints (-5.5)
same side · consensus Browns
—Browns $6.3K—Browns $311