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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5928–5310, n=11238)53% (10–9, n=19)47% (13371–14881, n=28252)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M$5.6M$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #17PM monthly #1PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position66% (280 of 424 open)no open consensus position64% (181 of 283 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)65% (won 73% of 11)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

96 on the same side, 55 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4Flaznorpjoseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $13K
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $10K—Over $12
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.2K—No $9.0K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 0 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.3K—No $8.8K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.1K—No $8.8K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $8.6K—Under $12
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $8.2K—No $66
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $380—No $7.4K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $4.1K—Over $3.1K
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $6.5K—Under $8
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 6.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $4.5K—Under $1.9K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $403—No $5.7K
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus SK Slavia Praha
—SK Slavia Praha $5.7K—Arsenal FC $75
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 3 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $83—No $4.6K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9K—Under $1.6K
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $628—No $3.9K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $4.2K—Over $16
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.6K—No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3.5K—Under $278
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.6K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.2K—Eduardo Ribeiro $1.5K
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1K—Over $1.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $2.3K—Yes $35
Como 1907 leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $734
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.8K—Under $29
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.7K—Under $6
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $150—No $1.5K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $36—No $1.5K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $189—No $1.4K
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 2 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $18—No $1.5K
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 2 - 3 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $1.3K—No $101
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 1 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—No $238
Exact Score: FC Porto 1 - 1 SSC Napoli?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $918—No $273
Exact Score: RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Manchester City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $19
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $978—No $66
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $713—Over $268
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Club Brugge KV (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus PSV
—PSV $620—Club Brugge KV $205
Exact Score: Bristol City FC 1 - 0 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $717—Yes $7
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $607—Yes $106
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $220—Hawks $426
PSV leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $554—Yes $88
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $304—Thunder $273
M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt
opposite sides · consensus Max Wiskandt
—Hiroki Sakagawa $81—Max Wiskandt $416
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $215—Grizzlies $118