Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
classifiede46m3pleaseletmealone
Record (consensus markets)27% (30–82, n=112)17% (155–762, n=917)no settled market
Consensus PnL$783K$536K$1.3K
Tracked asPM monthly #334PM monthly #2PM monthly #432
Sides with the consensus68% (19 of 28 open)73% (319 of 435 open)79% (147 of 186 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Tech ±0 pts, n=36—
Settled positions, side won—93% of 626 at avg 90¢, ROI +2%—
Entries under 30¢—7% (won 11% of 46)—
Entries 30–50¢—1% (won 86% of 7)—
Entries 50–70¢—1% (won 75% of 8)—
Entries 70¢ and up—90% (won 100% of 565)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketclassifiede46m3pleaseletmealone
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K—Yes $2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9Yes $527
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $108Yes $234
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $6Yes $314
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $4Yes $230
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $211
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $10Yes $196
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $130
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $94Yes $30
Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $20Yes $35
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $22Yes $21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $18Yes $10
Will Backrooms be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $9Yes $3
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $5
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $4
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6Yes $2
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5Yes $2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $5Yes $2
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3Yes $2
Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $4Yes $1
Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $3Yes $1