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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
denizzRememberAmalekSineNooneEIuprightuser
Record (consensus markets)70% (207–87, n=294)74% (470–167, n=637)88% (584–76, n=660)no settled market
Consensus PnL$2.3M$1.1M$1.0M—
Tracked asPM monthly #151PM monthly #153PM monthly #110was PM monthly #529
Sides with the consensus93% (25 of 27 open)54% (81 of 149 open)100% (1 of 1 open)100% (46 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topicPolitics −2 pts, n=16Crypto −1 pts, n=10——
Settled positions, side won64% of 245 at avg 59¢, ROI +7%61% of 525 at avg 50¢, ROI +5%92% of 511 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%—
Entries under 30¢26% (won 6% of 63)37% (won 10% of 193)5% (won 83% of 23)—
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 57% of 30)13% (won 67% of 66)36% (won 88% of 182)—
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 66% of 32)14% (won 88% of 74)44% (won 93% of 224)—
Entries 70¢ and up49% (won 96% of 120)37% (won 99% of 192)16% (won 99% of 82)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

14 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketdenizzRememberAmalekSineNooneEIuprightuser
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $40KYes $549——
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $32KNo $6——
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $12KYes $115——
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.3KYes $2.6K——
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $11KYes $1.6K——
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7KNo $4.8K——
Iran leadership change by December 31?
same side · consensus No
No $5.1KNo $1.1K——
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $20—Yes $566
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $27—Yes $499
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $13—Yes $500
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $10—Yes $380
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6—Yes $240
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6—Yes $229
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $6—Yes $220
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $5—Yes $180
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2—Yes $60
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $2—Yes $60
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $1—Yes $40