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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1S-Works
Record (consensus markets)43% (11439–14898, n=26337)49% (1224–1251, n=2475)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)75% (2546–856, n=3402)
Consensus PnL$3.1M$3.6M$14.8M$3.7M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #52PM monthly #33 + pinnedPM monthly #74
Sides with the consensus75% (27 of 36 open)56% (5 of 9 open)55% (33 of 60 open)67% (2 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic———Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won—99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢—41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢—49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up—5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1S-Works
Bengals vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Falcons $3.9KBengals $36KBengals $5.3K—
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $2.0KFalcons $1.4KFalcons $378—
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)
same side · consensus Bengals
Falcons $514Falcons $7.9KFalcons $1.6K—
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo
opposite sides · consensus Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Juan Manuel Cerundolo $35K—Elias Ymer $163—
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $605Over $5.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.2K—Over $1.7K—
Spread: Bengals (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $552—Falcons $203—
Raiders vs. 49ers
same side · consensus 49ers
49ers $28K49ers $40K——
Jets vs. Chiefs
same side · consensus Chiefs
Chiefs $33KChiefs $21K——
Lions vs. Dolphins
same side · consensus Lions
Lions $31KLions $14K——
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Toby Samuel
same side · consensus Toby Samuel
Toby Samuel $14K—Toby Samuel $31K—
Spread: Bengals (-5.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $2.2K—Falcons $421—
Titans vs. Bengals: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $21—Under $2.4K—
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
same side · consensus Falcons
Falcons $159—Falcons $1.6K—
Colts vs. Jaguars: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $434—Under $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—