Skip to content
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
hedgevaultmainnet1BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)55% (2132–1776, n=3908)45% (526–640, n=1166)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)62% (393–245, n=638)
Consensus PnL-$110K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #813PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus56% (20 of 36 open)72% (74 of 103 open)64% (98 of 152 open)0% (0 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +29 pts n=1313, ROI +20%
  • NFL +36 pts n=38, ROI +27%
  • NBA +28 pts n=32, ROI +12%
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won95% of 1390 at avg 66¢, ROI +20%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 61% of 100)10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2534)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 92% of 218)36% (won 98% of 192)22% (won 94% of 5497)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 97% of 376)35% (won 99% of 187)36% (won 99% of 8897)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up50% (won 100% of 696)20% (won 100% of 107)31% (won 100% of 7736)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Markethedgevaultmainnet1BreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Cardinals vs. Cowboys
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $13Cardinals $59KCowboys $11K—
Browns vs. Steelers
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
—Browns $255KSteelers $5.5K—
Raiders vs. Jets
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $171KJets $192—
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $834Yes $39K——
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $492Yes $20K——
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jets
—Raiders $17KJets $400—
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Falcons $8.6KBuccaneers $1.9K—
Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $9—Under $5.9K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $3.0KCowboys $1.4K—
Will Académico de Viseu FC win on 2026-11-01?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $1.5K—
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $497Yes $967——
Titans vs. Bengals
opposite sides · consensus Bengals
Bengals $251—Titans $658—
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $398Yes $258K——
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $104KRaiders $2.3K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
—Cardinals $35KCardinals $714—
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
—Raiders $24KRaiders $1.1K—
Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
No $9.5K—No $15K—
Spread: Jaguars (-10.5)
same side · consensus Jaguars
—Jaguars $20KJaguars $643—
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1.5K—Yes $12K—
Falcons vs. Buccaneers
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $713—Falcons $1.8K—