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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
justaluckydudeCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)59% (5014–3415, n=8429)62% (393–245, n=638)45% (526–640, n=1166)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$4.5M$10.6M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #124PM monthly #68PM monthly #1PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus48% (40 of 83 open)0% (0 of 4 open)72% (77 of 107 open)62% (18 of 29 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 3467 at avg 60¢, ROI +40%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 152)9% (won 92% of 36)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 100% of 833)56% (won 99% of 223)36% (won 98% of 192)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 100% of 1457)33% (won 100% of 133)35% (won 99% of 187)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1025)2% (won 100% of 7)20% (won 100% of 107)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketjustaluckydudeCORGIIBreakTheBankprimm
Ravens vs. Bills
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $210—Bills $378KBills $395
Spread: Bills (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $704—Bills $51KRavens $696
Spread: Jets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raiders
Jets $393—Raiders $24KJets $284
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Falcons $267——Buccaneers $3.0K
Spread: Bills (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
Ravens $5——Bills $2.7K
Spread: Bills (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ravens
——Bills $2.1KRavens $376
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $26——Under $2.1K
Spread: Bills (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bills
Ravens $43——Bills $2.0K
Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $831——Over $1.1K
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $824——Under $575
Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Steelers
Browns $80——Steelers $156
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 48.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $33——Under $17
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
same side · consensus Raiders
Raiders $3.1K—Raiders $104K—
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
same side · consensus Magic
Magic $56—Magic $51K—
Spread: Cowboys (-7.5)
same side · consensus Cardinals
Cardinals $688—Cardinals $35K—
Spread: Raiders (-1.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Raiders $2.9K—Raiders $17K—
Spread: Cowboys (-6.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
——Cardinals $3.0KCardinals $1.1K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $930——Cardinals $1.0K
Browns vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $598——Under $1.2K
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)
same side · consensus Cowboys
Cardinals $437——Cardinals $1.0K
Spread: Bills (-4.5)
same side · consensus Bills
Ravens $366——Ravens $295
Spread: Steelers (-1.5)
same side · consensus Steelers
Browns $138——Browns $471
Spread: Raiders (-5.5)
same side · consensus Jets
Raiders $320——Raiders $138
Spread: Steelers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $4——Browns $437
Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $33——Over $8