← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| mountaindewd | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (288–230, n=518) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $174K | $10.6M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #477 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 81% (29 of 36 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 52% (56 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −2 pts, n=58 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 71% of 520 at avg 57¢, ROI +12% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 18% (won 21% of 92) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 65% of 98) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 28% (won 75% of 145) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 36% (won 95% of 185) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
11 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | mountaindewd | BreakTheBank | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $2.5K | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $59K | — | Cowboys $12K |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8.3K | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.6K | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $5.0K | No $22K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cardinals $3.0K | — | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1.8K | Yes $272K | — | — |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $8.8K | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $149 | No $102K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | — | Magic $228 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | No $40K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.9K | Yes $38K | — | — |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.7K | No $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | — | Magic $161 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $2.1K | Yes $4.1K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $2.1K | No $590 | — | — |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $278 | Yes $2.3K | — | — |