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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | ryou999 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 50% (15092–15111, n=30203) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) | 35% (12–22, n=34) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2M | $3.0M | $14.8M | $50K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #140 | PM monthly #56 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #694 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 50% (97 of 194 open) | 64% (180 of 282 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
| none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — | Esports −1 pts, n=18 |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 38% of 29 at avg 40¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 8% (won 60% of 874) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) | 45% (won 8% of 13) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 21% (won 87% of 2384) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) | 28% (won 50% of 8) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 38% (won 95% of 4296) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) | 21% (won 67% of 6) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 99% of 3716) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) | 7% (won 100% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
22 on the same side, 21 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | ndb1 | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | ryou999 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $23 | Yes $32K | No $190 |
| Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Despina Papamichail $1.0K | Renata Zarazua $18K | — |
| Will PSV win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $52 | No $15K | — |
| Will RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $79 | No $14K | — |
| Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $28 | Yes $9.4K | — |
| Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $6 | No $9.0K | — |
| Will AEK win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $1.6K | No $6.5K | — |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $13 | Under $7.0K | — |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Real Madrid CF | — | Real Madrid CF $128 | AEK $5.2K | — |
| Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $308 | No $5.0K | — |
| Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-11-04? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $114 | No $3.4K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $1.6K | Over $1.5K | — |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $156 | Over $3.0K | — |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $9 | Under $1.6K | — |
| Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra opposite sides · consensus Leyre Romero Gormaz | — | Leyre Romero Gormaz $740 | Solana Sierra $476 | — |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $7 | Over $1.2K | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $350 | No $592 | — |
| Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $68 | No $677 | — |
| PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $260 | No $6 | — |
| Arsenal FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $38 | No $126 | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $7 | No $66 | — |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $1.5K | Yes $50K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $94 | Under $17K | — |
| Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy | — | Nishesh Basavareddy $896 | Nishesh Basavareddy $8.2K | — |
| Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha | — | SK Slavia Praha $8.0K | SK Slavia Praha $538 | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $1.9K | No $6.5K | — |
| Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC? same side · consensus No | — | No $46 | No $4.4K | — |
| Will Sabah FK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $64 | No $2.9K | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4 | Over $2.3K | — |
| SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $61 | Under $2.3K | — |
| FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $75 | Under $1.8K | — |
| Bristol City FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.6K | Under $8 | — |
| Viking FK vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $42 | Under $1.5K | — |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | No $59 | No $1.5K | — |
| Will Viking FK vs. Sabah FK end in a draw? same side · consensus No | — | No $565 | No $4 | — |
| M25 Harlingen, TX: Hiroki Sakagawa vs Max Wiskandt same side · consensus Max Wiskandt | — | Max Wiskandt $43 | Max Wiskandt $416 | — |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) same side · consensus Hornets | — | Hornets $271 | Hornets $129 | — |
| RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $34 | Over $205 | — |
| Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $27 | Under $147 | — |
| Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $35 | Yes $104 | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $4 | Pelicans $121 | — |
| Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5) same side · consensus Real Betis Balompié | — | Real Betis Balompié $68 | Real Betis Balompié $12 | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $17 | Under $61 | — |