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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| omnibus-076daa | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (14291–14380, n=28671) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $13.4M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #27 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (39 of 62 open) | 65% (104 of 159 open) | no open consensus position | 71% (73 of 103 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 91% of 10809 at avg 60¢, ROI +32% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 8% (won 59% of 872) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 21% (won 86% of 2312) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 38% (won 94% of 4141) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 99% of 3484) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
15 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | omnibus-076daa | RN1 | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raiders vs. Jets opposite sides · consensus Jets | Jets $614 | Jets $192 | — | Raiders $171K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $4.6K | Buccaneers $1.9K | — | Falcons $8.6K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cardinals | Cowboys $131 | Cowboys $1.4K | — | Cardinals $3.0K |
| Browns vs. Steelers opposite sides · consensus Steelers | — | Steelers $5.5K | — | Browns $255K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $11K | — | Cardinals $59K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $25K | No $5.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Jets | — | Jets $400 | — | Raiders $17K |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $63 | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Will Lommel SK win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $105 | No $1.5K | — | — |
| Will Palermo FC win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus No | No $8 | Yes $997 | — | — |
| Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $211 | No $640 | — | — |
| Will Alemannia Aachen win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $133 | No $93 | — | — |
| Sioux Falls: Dylan Dietrich vs Liam Draxl opposite sides · consensus Liam Draxl | Dylan Dietrich $36 | Liam Draxl $9 | — | — |
| Villa Maria: Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto vs Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen opposite sides · consensus Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto $2 | Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen $1 | — | — |
| Spread: Jets (-1.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $2.3K | — | Raiders $104K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | — | — | Yes $77K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $116 | — | — | Yes $71K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-7.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | — | Cardinals $714 | — | Cardinals $35K |
| Spread: Jets (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | — | Raiders $1.1K | — | Raiders $24K |
| Vålerenga Fotball vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $21K | Under $2.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) same side · consensus Jaguars | — | Jaguars $643 | — | Jaguars $20K |
| Will Valencia CF win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $185 | Yes $12K | — | — |
| Elche CF vs. Valencia CF: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $217 | Under $5.9K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-9.5) same side · consensus Cardinals | Cardinals $41 | Cardinals $1.4K | — | — |
| Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $186 | Yes $692 | — | — |
| Charlottesville: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Geoffrey Blancaneaux same side · consensus Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Mitsui $452 | Shunsuke Mitsui $5 | — | — |
| Spread: Raiders (-2.5) same side · consensus Raiders | Raiders $213 | Raiders $29 | — | — |
| Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $137 | Under $5 | — | — |
| Palermo FC vs. L.R. Vicenza: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $5 | Over $7 | — | — |