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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| pauleta23 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (15655–8312, n=23967) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $243K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #843 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (19 of 33 open) | 54% (64 of 118 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 84% of 10552 at avg 61¢, ROI +25% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 32% of 1299) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 77% of 1979) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 91% of 3086) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 97% of 4188) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | pauleta23 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $12K | Cardinals $59K | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $14 | Over $7.0K | — | — |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | Cowboys $1.4K | Cardinals $3.0K | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $192 | Falcons $2.7K | — | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $20 | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1 | Under $1.0K | — | — |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $2 | Under $643 | — | — |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $28 | Bills $93 | — | — |
| Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $10 | Yes $108 | — | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $8 | No $26 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $228 | Magic $51K | — |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $1 | No $26K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $161 | Magic $13K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $18 | Over $3.0K | — | — |
| Will Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $5 | No $2.6K | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $18 | Over $2.4K | — | — |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $2 | Over $1.3K | — | — |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? same side · consensus No | No $10 | No $516 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Under | Over $7 | Over $382 | — | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score same side · consensus No | Yes $13 | Yes $10 | — | — |