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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| primm | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.4M | $5.8M | $10.6M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #181 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (73 of 102 open) | 53% (62 of 117 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 5% (won 93% of 43) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 41% (won 99% of 366) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 99% of 433) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 41) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
8 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | primm | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $696 | — | Bills $51K | Bills $18K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $1.1K | — | Cardinals $3.0K | Cowboys $1.4K |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys opposite sides · consensus Cowboys | — | — | Cardinals $59K | Cowboys $12K |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | Buccaneers $3.0K | — | — | Falcons $2.7K |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Bills $4.5K | — | — | Ravens $647 |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | Ravens $295 | — | — | Bills $4.0K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 50.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.1K | — | — | Over $1.3K |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $376 | — | Bills $2.1K | — |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys: O/U 54.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $8 | — | — | Under $2.2K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 58.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $65 | — | — | Over $434 |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 64.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $2.8K | — | — | Under $9.2K |
| Ravens vs. Bills: O/U 52.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $261 | — | — | Under $7.2K |
| Spread: Bills (-10.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Bills $2.7K | — | — | Bills $4.0K |
| Spread: Bills (-17.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $282 | — | — | Bills $2.5K |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) same side · consensus Cowboys | Cardinals $1.0K | — | — | Cardinals $629 |
| Spread: Bills (-16.5) same side · consensus Bills | Bills $662 | — | — | Bills $93 |