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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| randomWalkingShrimp | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 78% (884–246, n=1130) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 48% (12823–13908, n=26731) | 50% (941–941, n=1882) |
| Consensus PnL | $39K | $10.6M | $13.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 76% (39 of 51 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | 61% (28 of 46 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 81% of 1028 at avg 72¢, ROI +8% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 14% (won 19% of 146) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 7% (won 50% of 72) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 12% (won 79% of 124) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 67% (won 98% of 686) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | randomWalkingShrimp | BreakTheBank | RN1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs vs. Broncos opposite sides · consensus Chiefs | — | Chiefs $465K | — | Broncos $7.4K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $19 | Yes $77K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $662 | Yes $37K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $497 | No $35K | — | — |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | No $153 | Yes $28K | — | — |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers | — | — | Falcons $2.7K | Buccaneers $3.0K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $84 | Yes $169K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $267 | No $102K | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $82 | Yes $73K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $51K | Magic $228 | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) same side · consensus Magic | — | Magic $13K | Magic $161 | — |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $775 | No $10K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.6K | No $747 | — | — |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $77 | Yes $2.2K | — | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | No $1.3K | No $590 | — | — |